The Money Tree

Safely Generating Income in Retirement

Posts Tagged ‘KO’

May 2014 – Results

Posted by mounddweller on June 1, 2014

Fellow Traders,

My results in May were kind of a mixed bag.  I had some trades that worked well and others that didn’t.  The frequency of my trading was impacted by several factors:

(1) responsibilities at my day job increased and so I have less time to follow my trades during the day,

(2) my personal life has also become more hectic, and

(3) the seemingly irrational movement down in volatility means premiums are very low and thus the risk/reward ratio does not seem favorable to me.

With that as a back-drop let’s look at the results of the trades I did make this month.  First, let’s look at the closed trades.

(1) Coca Cola (KO) – I am building a long-term position in KO.  While accumulating shares using dividend reinvestment I also want to be opportunistic in selling CCs against my existing shares and selling NPs until assigned to acquire additional shares.  On 4/16 I sold MAY $40 calls at $0.82 believing that KO had peaked and was destined to head back down for a short period of time.  Unfortunately, this was not the case and so on 5/14 I had to buy back my MAY $40 calls at $1.14 to avoid having them called away.  This resulted in a loss on the trade.  I am planning on re-entering the trade again when it appears KO has peaked and is ripe for a short-term fall.

(2) Kinder Morgan (KMI) – Like KO, I want to build a long-term position in KMI.  I feel KMI is a bargain at current price levels.  Consequently, for the past several months each time KMI approaches $32.50 I sell puts at this strike price.  On  4/25 I sold MAY $32.50 puts at $0.50.  These puts expired OTM on 5/14.  Thus, net of commissions my ROIC was 1.45% with a holding period of 22 days.

(3) Family Dollar (FDO) – I have made a couple of trades in FDO in the past 3 months.  Both were profitable.  My latest trade was initiated on 3/21 when I sold the APR $57.50 puts for $0.96.  As many of you are aware FDO has been volatile these past several months due to lackluster performance and rumors of them being bought.  Consequently, I had to roll my position down and out to the MAY $55 puts.  These MAY $55 puts expired OTM on 5/17.  My ROIC on this trade in FDO, net of commissions, was 1.38% with a holding period of 57 days.

(4) Franklin-Templeton (BEN) – Like FDO, I have made a couple of trades in BEN these past few months.  Both were profitable.  My latest trade was initiated on 4/7 when I sold the MAY $50 puts at $0.70.  These puts were never in danger of becoming ITM and expired OTM on 5/17.  Net of commissions, my ROIC was 1.32% over a holding period of 40 days.

(5) Lowe’s (LOW) – I initiated my trade in LOW back on 4/7, selling the MAY $46 puts at $0.75.  On 5/6 I had to buy back the MAY $46 puts and ended up selling a higher quantity of JUN $44 for a net credit.  On 5/23 I was able to buy back the JUN $44 puts for $0.19, thus closing out the trade early.  My ROIC, net of commissions, was 1.99% with a holding period of 46 days.

(6) Procter & Gamble (PG) – This was my very first Bollinger Band (BB) strategy trade.  The basic premise of the strategy is to buy stock and/or sell NPs as a stock is bouncing off it’s lower BB.  PG seemed like the perfect set-up and a low risk trade for my first attempt at mastering this strategy.  PG hit and bounced off it’s lower BB on 5/21.  On 5/22 I bought shares of PG at $80.20.  Looking at the chart I believed PG would be able to make it back up to the middle of the BBs (essentially the 20-day MA).  Alas, this was not the case.  The stock’s rise stalled out before even hitting $81.  Not wanting to risk large losses I sold my shares as soon as it became apparent to me that the trade wasn’t going to work out.  On 5/27 I sold my shares in PG at $80.27.  Net of commissions I lost about $10 on the trade.

(7) Exelon (EXC) – Yes, believe it or not I am out of EXC with a profit!  Long time readers of my blog will know that I’ve been working my way out of this position for a very long time.  This trade actually started in APR 2010 by selling puts at the $42.50 strike.  A lot has happened since then.  I’ve collected four years of dividends, sold CCs and NPs numerous time and have had stock put to me and called away at least once each.  Through all of this I was able to reduce my net cost.  Finally last month, prior to EXC going ex-dividend, I sold CCs at the $35 and $36 strikes.  A portion of my shares were called away from me at $35 by someone wanting to capture the dividend.  The $36 CCs expired OTM.  I will be receiving the dividend on these shares.  It should hit my account later this month.  Then, this past week, I sold all of my remaining shares at $36.10.  The final result will be a ROIC of around 12% but the holding period is just over 4 years so the annualized return while beating US Treasuries is nothing to brag about.  What I will brag about though is that I refused to give in and exit the position at a loss.  By selling NPs and CCs when the opportunity presented itself and collecting the dividends over time I was able to successfully exit the trade.

(8) Microsoft (MSFT) – On 5/6 with MSFT at $39.06, I sold the 30MAY $38 puts at $40.  This past Friday those puts expired OTM.  My ROIC was 0.98% with a 24-day holding period.

Now let’s look at the new trades I opened this month.

(1) Back on 5/12 I expanded my long position in $VIX JUL $14 calls.  I bought 2 more calls at $1.95.  Thus far this trade isn’t looking very good.  The market continues to defy gravity by going higher while driving the VIX lower and lower.  The long expected summer slump has yet to occur.

(2) Lastly, I sold more puts on EXC.  I know, I’m stupid.  I can just hear you saying, didn’t you just get yourself out of a long-term losing trade in EXC.  Yes, I did.  However, in this case the market is moving in my direction.  When I originally opened my trade in EXC back in 2010, I thought the stock was bottoming out.  Alas, it continued to fall much further than I thought possible.  This time, I waited until I was sure the market was moving in my favor.  Back on 5/20 I sold the JUN $33 puts at $0.35.  EXC was trading at $34.04.  Friday, it closed at $36.83.  Thus, I should be able to buy to close my puts for pennies on the dollar in the coming week.

Well, that’s it for this month.  As I mentioned at the beginning of this post, I have slowed the pace of my trading substantially.  Put premiums are extremely low right now.  I’m keeping my ‘powder dry’ until things pick back up again.

Best of luck to all my trading friends in the coming month!

Regards,

Troy

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April 2014 Results

Posted by mounddweller on May 4, 2014

Fellow Traders,

My reportable results for April are kind of sparse.  I only closed 3 positions, netting a whopping $337.95.  The total capital employed in these trades was $35,750 with an average holding period of 62 days.  Needless to say the ROIC was anemic and well below my desired annualized return of 15%.  I closed trades in KMI, NKE, and TGT.

During the month of April I opened several new trades, all but one of which were on stocks that I’ve traded before.  I sold naked puts on four stocks BEN, FDO, KMI, and LOW.  Details are provided below:

(1)  BEN – STO 2 MAY $50 Puts at $0.70

(2) FDO – STO 3 MAY $55 Puts at $0.80 (after BTC 2 APR $57.50 puts at a small profit)

(3) KMI – STO 3 MAY $32.50 Puts at $0.50 (after my APR $32.50 puts expired OTM)

(4) LOW – STO 2 MAY $46 Puts at $0.75 (new trade, have never traded LOW before, hence modest amount of capital placed at risk)

I also opened covered call trades on EXC, INTC, and KO.  Long time readers will recall my long-held position and saga in EXC.  Barring a collapse in the market it appears I may finally be able to exit my position in EXC not only with all my capital in hand but with a small profit as well.  I also sold covered calls against my long-term holdings in INTC and KO.  This was done with the expectation that the market is entering a period of near-term weakness and that INTC and KO will drift lower with the market.  To date that has not been the case, however, with INTC I have until August to be proven correct and in the case of KO I am prepared to roll out my MAY calls as needed to prevent the shares from being called away from me.  Here are the specifics of the covered call trades I placed in April:

(1) EXC – STO 3 MAY $36 Calls at $0.50

(2) EXC – STO 2 MAY $35 Calls at $1.00

(3) INTC – STO 1 AUG $26 Call at $1.45

(4) INTC – STO 2 JUL $27 Call at $0.80

(5) KO – STO 2 MAY $40 Calls at $0.82

With both INTC and KO I purposely did not sell calls against all of my shares.  Doing so allows me room to generate additional income and exit the trade profitably without risking the loss of my shares due to assignment.

Last, but not least, I executed a trade on the $VIX calls.  I am following a strategy I learned from my good friend and fellow online trader, Teddi Knight at http://www.fullyinformed.com/.

(1) $VIX – BTO 3 JUL $14 Calls at $2.70

I may expand the size of this position if the VIX continues to drift lower and gets to the lower Bollinger Band.  However, depending on the timing I may make future trades against the AUG calls.  The plan is to sell these calls when the $VIX jumps and then begins to fall back.

Well, that’s it for this month.  I have been very selective in my trading of late because I am finding it harder and harder to find trades with a good risk/reward profile.  I think we may have a bumpy summer period and that may open up a lot of trading opportunities.

Regards,

Troy

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March 2014 Results

Posted by mounddweller on April 3, 2014

Fellow Traders,

Better late than never I always say.  Other responsibilities have kept me from compiling and communicating the results of my trading during the month of March.

In March I closed out 6 trades with a net profit of $1,084.20.  The 6 trades required $72,835 in capital which means my ROIC was 1.488%.  The average holding period was 42 days.

I closed out NP trades in 5 stocks and 1 CC.  The NPs were:

(1) BEN MAR $50 puts expired OTM,

(2) KO MAR $37 puts expired OTM,

(3) WMT MAR $7.50 puts expired OTM,

(4) FDO MAR $60 puts expired OTM, and

(5) PG MAR $75 puts expired OTM.

My CC trade was in AT&T (T).  Back in January I had purchased 500 shares at $34.97 and sold CCs to capture the dividend.  The calls expired OTM and I received the dividend.  I then sold another round of calls and also sold puts at $33 and $32.  I closed the position last week after both my puts and calls expired OTM by selling my stock at $34.86.  All in all, it turned out to be a good trade.

I also have a few trades that rolled over into April.  I rolled my KMI $32.50 puts out from MAR into APR.  I also have pen NP trades in CSCO and TGT.  I am short the APR $21 and $57.50 puts respectively.

My only new trades in MAR that remain open are FDO APR $57.50 puts and my most recent trade which occurred back on 3/27 where I STO NKE APR $72.50 puts at $0.75.

With just over two weeks left before APR expiration I am keeping an eye on a couple possible trades:

(1) STO ABT APR $37 puts at $0.30 or better, and

(2) STO KO APR $37 puts.

 

Well, that’s it for the month of March.  Unless something big happens in the next couple of weeks it looks like I’m not going to have much to write about in April.

Best of luck to all my trading friends.

Regards,

Troy

 

 

 

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Portfolio Update – September 2013 Results

Posted by mounddweller on September 30, 2013

Fellow Traders,

The 3rd quarter is officially history.  Given the impact of a so-so economy and the political antics in Washington it should be interesting to see how we finish out the year.  Most of what I’m currently reading says to look for a big run-up to the end of the year after Congress gets done trying to get our attention on the budget debate and the debt ceiling.  Stay tuned it should be interesting!

Enough of that, let’s take a look at how The Money Tree made out this month.

Number of Closed Positions: 9

Profit on Closed Trades: $1,418.22

Total Capital Used on Closed Trades: $91,073.63

Average Number of Days Trades Were Open: 124.7*

Return on Invested Capital: 1.56%

You’ll note the average number of days trades were open is much higher than usual.  That’s because I finally closed out my position in SUNE (formerly WFR).  I had that position for well over 2 years.  We’ll talk more about SUNE later in this article.  Excluding SUNE, the remaining 8 closed trades had an average holding period of 33 days.

Let’s dig a little deeper into these 9 closed trades.  Seven of the nine closed trades involved naked puts.  The remaining two were covered calls.  All nine closed positions were the result of the options expiring OTM.  I had puts expire in ABT, CAT, CCJ, EXC, LNCO, MSFT, and TEVA.

I sold the ABT SEP $34 puts when the underlying was trading at $35.29.  ABT continued to fall and was ITM for some time before recovering and finishing OTM.

I sold the CAT $80 puts for $0.72 when the underlying was at $82.38.  At expiration CAT was at $84.75.

While CCJ was at $19.54 I sold the SEP $19 puts for $0.50.  At expiration CCJ was at $19.38.

I sold the EXC SEP $30 puts at $0.60 when Exelon was at $30.20.  The puts expired OTM with EXC closing at $30.13.

LNCO was at $25.55 when I sold the SEP $24 puts for $1.30.  At expiration LNCO closed at $29.04.

My trade in MSFT also turned out well, I sold the SEP $30 puts at $0.25 when MSFT was at $31.42.  They expired OTM with Microsoft trading at $32.79.

My final NP trade involved TEVA.  As regular readers know, I’ve been trading this one for several months now.  Once again I sold the SEP $37.50 puts; this time for $0.50.  At the time TEVA was trading at $38.81.  At expiration it closed at $37.72.  If you haven’t taken an opportunity to look at TEVA before, I highly encourage you to do so.  I’ve been trading it since late April and it has treated me very well.

Now let’s look at my two covered call trades.  First up is my trade in KO.  Back on August 23rd I bought KO for $38.42 and concurrently sold the SEP $39 calls for $0.34.  On September 12th KO went ex-dividend making me eligible to receive the $0.28 dividend.  With KO trading at $38.94 on expiration day I decided to roll my calls out into OCT.  Doing so gave me an additional net credit of $0.62.

Last, but certainly not least is my covered call trade in SUNE (previously WFR).  Long time readers know I’ve been in this position for quite some time.  NO MORE!  I closed out my SUNE trade on 9/25.  Over the course of 2+ years I had managed to work my net cost basis in SUNE down from $10 (the strike price of my original puts) to $7.74.  After my SEP $9 calls expired OTM I decided to keep a close eye on SUNE and sell my shares at $8 or better.  Last Wednesday, I got my chance and sold SUNE for $8.10.  My annualized ROIC was a laughable 1.91%.   However, I’m still proud of this trade because I stuck with it, didn’t give up, and worked on it until I was able to exit with a profit.  With more experience under my belt and better stock selection I hope to avoid a repeat performance.

 

Now let’s look at my open trades.

Number of Open Positions: 7; 4 naked puts, 2 covered calls, and 1 call purchase

Net Cash Flow in September from 4 new naked put Open Positions: $591.70

Cash Flow from 2 covered calls: $288.50

Capital Used on Open Cash Secured Naked Put Trades: $36,350.00

Capital Used on Open Covered Call Trades: $24,313.90

Capital Used on $VIX call option purchase: $760.00

Net Cash Flow on Invested Capital: 1.43%

I have previously opened positions in GDX, and KO.  My new open positions are in ABT (OCT $33 puts), CCJ (OCT $19 Puts), EXC (OCT $30 puts), TEVA (OCT $37.50 puts), SYY (CC OCT $32), and $VIX (DEC $13 calls).

Going into October I am considering an additional trade in CCJ (OCT $18 puts), and new trades in CAT (OCT $80 puts), CLX (OCT $80 puts), GIS (OCT CC trade, stock goes ex-dividend on 10/8), T  (OCT CC trade, stock also goes ex-dividend on 10/8), DE (OCT $80 puts), and PG (OCT $75 puts).

Regards,

Troy

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Results – July 2013

Posted by mounddweller on July 31, 2013

Fellow Traders,

July is history.  Wow, 2013 is going quickly.  July turned out to be a good month.  Let’s check those results.

Number of Closed Positions: 7

Profit on Closed Trades: $1,272.00

Total Capital Used on Closed Trades: $71,350.00

Average Number of Days Trades Were Open: 24.6

Return on Invested Capital: 1.78%

Let’s dig a little deeper into these 7 closed trades.  All 7 of the closed trades involved naked puts.  Six of the seven expired OTM.  The other one was my ‘day-trade’ in POT which I wrote about yesterday.  I had puts expire in CHRW, CAT, KO, TEVA, and two positions in LNCO.  I sold the CHRW JUL $55 puts at $1.10 when CHRW was at $55.97 (it has strong support at $55).  The puts expired OTM with CHRW closing at $60.60.  CAT was at $83.86 when I sold the JUL $80 puts for $1.00.  At expiration CAT closed at $85.65.  My first time trading KO also turned out well, I sold the JUL $38 puts at $0.40 when KO was at $39.54.  They expired OTM with KO trading at $41.09.  Last up are my two trades in LNCO.  With LNCO trading around $30.70 I sold the JUL $27.50 and JUL $25 puts at $1.05 and $0.55 respectively.  It was a wild ride.  LNCO dropped to an intra-day low of $23.03 on July 5 before recovering to close on expiration at 32.18.

Now let’s look at my open trades.

Number of Open Positions: 7 (in 5 stocks)

Net Cash Flow in July from Open Positions: $(110.45)

Total Capital Used on Open Trades: $65,662.93

Net Cash Flow on Invested Capital: (0.168%)

Currently I have open positions in EXC, GDX, OKE, MSFT, and SUNE (WFR).   Let’s look at each one starting with EXC.  I just can’t seem to find the right rhythm with EXC.  If I weren’t wanting to re-establish a long-term position in this company I would have given up long ago and moved onto trading something else.  Long time readers will recall that I had a position in EXC that got called away in 2012.  Since then I have been trying to build a new position.  In May I started by selling the JUN $34 puts.  As EXC continued to move up more I feared having it run away from me so I lost my patience and bought 200 shares at $35.55 only to see it begin to fall almost immediately.  I ended up having to roll the JUN $34 puts out and down to JAN $33 for a small credit.  Then in June I sold more puts at the $32 strike.  As these went ITM I rolled them down and out as well to the JUL $31 puts.  When the JUL $31 puts went ITM I decided to cut my losses and bought to close them for a small debit.  Again, my patience cost me.  EXC bounced and closed at JUL expiration above $31.  Had I been more patient they would have expired OTM.  Finally, to finish the EXC saga for this month, today I sold some AUG $30 puts at $0.40 in an effort to reduce the debit I created when I closed the JUL $31 puts too early.  All of this activity has put me at just about at break-even.  The only one getting rich on this trade is my broker.

Let’s move onto my remaining open trades.  I won’t bore you with any more details on GDX.  It continues to hover between $26-$28.  I am way under water on this trade.  Next up is OKE.  Like, EXC I’m having trouble figuring this one out.  This is another company I’m trying to establish a long-term position in.  Back in May I sold JUN puts at the $47.50 strike.  Shortly thereafter the bottom fell out on the stock and I ended up rolling my position down and out to the JAN $45 puts for a $0.30 net credit.  Then in June I sold another round of JUL puts at the $42.50 strike.  When OKE fell below $42.50 I decided to close that position and began looking to sell something else further out and down for a credit.  Alas, like with EXC, had I just been patient the JUL $42.50 would have expired OTM.

OK, not all of my open positions are basket cases.  I actually have two open positions that are performing well.  I am short MSFT AUG $30 puts.  I opened the trade on July 19 selling the AUG $30 puts for $0.39 while MSFT was at $31.06.  I have no reason to believe these won’t expire OTM.

My last open position is in SUNE (WFR).  You’ll recall last month that I mentioned that I had sold the JUL $10 calls at $0.25.  These ended up expiring OTM so I wrote another round of calls for August also at the $10 strike.  I was able to sell these for $0.68.  SUNE has been on both sides of $10 this week so time will tell if I’ll get called away at expiration or be able to write another round of calls.

 

Going into August I am considering another round of naked put trades TEVA, CAT, CHRW, and CCJ.  All are once again approaching key support levels.

Regards,

Troy

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Results – June 2013

Posted by mounddweller on June 29, 2013

Fellow Traders,

Another month has flown by exceedingly fast.  It has been a bumpy ride what with the mini-correction.  Let’s take a look and see how I did.

Number of Closed Positions: 2

Profit on Closed Trades: $235.10

Total Capital Used on Closed Trades: $20,050.00

Average Number of Days Trades Were Open: 31.5

Return on Invested Capital: 1.17%

OK, before I move on to the stats for my open trades, let me tell you a little more about these closed trades.  Both of the closed trades were naked puts.   Both expired OTM.  My first trade was Merck (MRK).  I sold the JUN $44 puts back on May 9 for $0.64.  At the time MRK was trading at $45.33.  It peaked at over $49 in early June and is now heading back down and approaching resistance.  I’ve got it on my radar screen and will definitely trade it again once it gets a little lower.  Friday it closed at $46.45.  My other closed trade was in TEVA.  On June 3 I sold the JUN $37.50 puts for $0.42.  At the time TEVA was trading at $37.97.  I have been trading the TEVA naked puts at the $37.50 strike price for 3 months now.  It is trading at multi-year lows and I’d like to establish a long-term position in it.

Now let’s look at my open trades.

Number of Open Positions: 11 (in 8 stocks)

Net Cash Flow in June from Open Positions: $1,104.00

Total Capital Used on Open Trades: $112,012.93

Net Cash Flow on Invested Capital: 0.99%

This month I opened five new positions in CAT, CHRW, KO, OKE, and TEVA.   All are naked put trades.  I’m short CAT with the JUL $80 puts, CHRW at JUL $55, and KO at JUL $38 (first time I’ve ever traded KO!).  I opened a second position in OKE at JUL $42.50.  You’ll recall last month I sold the JUN $47.50 puts.  More about that later.  And last but not least I opened another round of TEVA JUL $37.50 puts.

Now let’s look at the 6 open positions I have that were carried over from prior months.  I still have my two deep ITM positions with GDX.  I’ve dug myself quite a hole in this one.  It will take quite some time to get back to even on these.  I’m short the SEP $41.50 puts and long stock which was put to me a couple months ago at $40.  I also have a previously opened position in OKE.  I originally sold the JUN $47.50 puts back in May.  I have since rolled these down to $45 and out to JAN.  I’ve also had to roll my two positions in EXC.  I rolled my JUN $34 out to JAN $33 and my JUN $32 out to JUL $31.  My last open position is a very old one.  Way back in May 2011 I initiated a trade in WFR.  Eventually I had the stock put to me at $10.  My position has laid dormant for quite some time as I was way under water.  Well, patience is a virtue.  The stock has now come back into favor with the boys on Wall Street and I was able to sell a JUL covered call at the $10 strike price.  By the way, WFR recently changed their name and their ticker symbol is now SUNE.

Going into July I am considering new trades in IBM and a repeat trade in MRK (as I mentioned above).

Regards,

Troy

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VISIONS Scan

Posted by mounddweller on June 20, 2010

I ran a VISIONS scan this weekend.  For the first time in quite a while it returned more than just one or two possible trades.  In fact VISIONS identified 14 possible trades, 5 of which have a Gold$ score of greater than 80. 

(1) First Solar (FSLR) – Gold$ = 92

(2) Banco Santander (STD) – Gold$ = 90

(3) Logitech International (LOGI) – Gold$ = 86

(4) ExxonMobil (XOM) – Gold$ = 84

(5) Forest Labs (FRX) – Gold$ = 82

What I found particularly interesting in the results of my scan are the increasing number of ‘blue chip’  stocks that are beginning to appear.  The most notable of these is of course ExxonMobil which showed up in the top 5.  Others, in no particular order, appearing further down the list beyond the top 14 I referenced above include JNJ, MSFT, KO, VISA, and GOOG. 

I believe we are still in a bear market thus I want to limit my trades to those types of large-cap companies.  I say keep an eye on them and pounce when the timing is right. 

Regards,

Troy

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