The Money Tree

Safely Generating Income in Retirement

Posts Tagged ‘XOM’

About my long-term holdings

Posted by mounddweller on January 3, 2018

Fellow Investors,

The post today is a few words regarding the long-term holdings portion of my portfolio.  Looking at the data in the “Long Term Holdings” tab you can see that I began accumulating these positions about 10 years ago.

My thought at the time was to begin accumulating large cap, dividend growth stocks at reasonable prices as the opportunity presented itself.  Then, I would automatically reinvest the quarterly dividends until such time as I was ready to retire and begin cashing those quarterly dividend checks.  Since these were ‘buy and hold forever’ stocks I tried to ignore month to month fluctuations in price.  I feel the plan has been successful.  The portfolio now has 15 stocks, 11 C-Corps and 4 MLPs.    My strategy has been to buy when the stock is currently out of favor.  Doing so has allowed me to buy AT&T at an average cost of less than $32/share, Exxon Mobil at $73, Intel at $24, McDonald’s at around $94, and Microsoft around $29.  With all of these companies increasing their dividends per share on an annual basis my yield on cost is substantial and will only continue to increase.

So, you may be wondering what I currently have on my watchlist.  As you might expect, given the current market conditions, not much!  However, there are a few companies that I would like to add to the portfolio if the opportunity presents itself.  IBM is one such company.  I’ve looked and passed on it multiple times in the past couple of years when the dividend yield exceeded 4%.  22 straight quarters of declining revenue make me a bit nervous to pull the trigger.  However, I think they may be very close to putting this bad string of results behind them.  If they have a good 4th quarter of 2017 and we get even a mild correction in the market, I’d buy a small number of shares at $150 or less.

Another stock I have my eye on is OKE.  It is a large mid-stream oil and gas pipeline company headquartered in Oklahoma.  It has excellent growth prospects and despite jumping in the first couple days of trading in 2018 still yields a very respectable 5.4%.  I didn’t anticipate it jumping out of the gate in the new year and so now will wait for it to cool off and pull back a little bit.  I will be pleased if I can get it at $53/share or less.

Well, that’s it for this post.  Later this week I hope to introduce you to the real estate portion of my portfolio.

Regards,

Troy

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Other Trades from the Week of Feb. 7-11, 2011

Posted by mounddweller on February 13, 2011

Fellow Traders,

Wanted to update you on a couple other trades I made this past week.   First up is XOM.  I opened my position in XOM just over a year ago.  My goal was to accumulate 400 shares with the intent to hold them long-term and periodically sell CCs against them.  My goal remains the same but I chose to exit the XOM position for the time being since XOM has moved up significantly in the past several months.

On Wednesday, I BTC my JAN ’12 $65 put for $1.74.  I made $252 (3.89%) on this specific trade in exactly 3 months.  My annualized return worked out to 15.41%.  In just over a year I made a profit of $1,922.25 in XOM.  This was accomplished using a combination of NPs, taking assignment, selling CCs, being assigned, and selling more NPs.  On average I would say I had around $13K committed to the position throughout the year so that would give me an overall return of better than 14%.  Not bad for a blue-chip stock like XOM.  I will look to get back into XOM if it falls back below $70.  Below is a complete history of my trades in XOM.

My other trade this week was in CSCO.  CSCO fell sharply after reporting disappointing earnings.  Actually it was there operating margin which caused all the fuss.  CSCO falling sharply after reporting earnings is becoming a rather common occurence.  It happened last quarter and I took advantage of it by selling OTM NPs.  I did the same this quarter.   On Thursday, I STO 5 MAR $18 puts at $0.21.  My ROIC with 36 days to expiration is 1.17%.

OK, that’s it.  Three posts in one day is my limit.  Best of luck to everyone this week.  I’ll be back next week with another round of Deep OTM puts for your consideration.

Regards,

Troy

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VISIONS Scout Run – 090510

Posted by mounddweller on September 5, 2010

All,

Happy Labor Day weekend!  I hope you all are enjoying the holiday.  I ran a VISIONS Scout screen this evening to see what might look good for the short trading week ahead.  The strong upward move last week produced a bumper crop of stocks meeting Ron’s criteria.   79 stocks have a Gold$ of 80 or better.  16 of these had a perfect Gold$ of 100.  A partial listing of the stocks found in Ron’s Scout Stocks to Buy report is embedded below.  Because of the large number of stocks on the list I had to limit it to the 38 having a Gold$ score of 90 or greater.

There are a number of stocks in the top 10 that caught my eye.  In particular I find XOM and WAG to be of interest.  Both are what I consider top-shelf, blue chip companies.  Both pay a moderate and growing dividend.    I already have a position in XOM.  I own shares, have sold CCs against those shares and also have open NP trades to acquire additional shares.  I am trading XOM using a strategy developed by my good friend Teddi over at www.fullyinformed.com.

I am interested in opening a position in WAG.  As I mentioned in my post from a couple weeks ago it is in recovery mode having fallen to a recent 52-wk low of $26.26.  I think it has great long-term growth prospects with the continued aging of the baby boomers.  It currently trades at less than 2x book value.  It has a dividend yield of 2.47% and a payout ratio of around 26% which means there is plenty of room for future dividend growth.

Other stocks in the top 10 that interest me are AEO, MRVL, and SNDA.  AEO is the retailer American Eagle.  Their target market is kids and young adults from 15-25.  They have an excellent balance sheet but I’m a little fearful of their near-term earnings potential.  Their target market has the highest unemployment rate of all in the US. 

MRVL is a high tech manufacturer of communications gear.  They too have an excellent balance sheet and trade at < 10x forward earnings.  SNDA is another Chinese online game stock.  You’ll recall I mentioned a couple of their competitors in my post two weeks ago. 

SNDA has over half of its market-cap sitting in cash on it’s balance sheet.  Thus, if you remove the cash from the calculation instead of trading at just over 13x forward earnings it is trading for about 6.5x forward earnings!  Dirt cheap! 

6 other stocks outside the top 10 also have Gold$ scores of 100.  They are: ADBE, SF, GPN, JNJ, GILD, and YHOO.  Of these I like JNJ and YHOO.  JNJ because it is the bluest of the blue-chips and is at an attractive price point.  YHOO because after all of the excitement about it being bought last year it has fallen off of everyone’s radar screen and is now plugging along in relative obscurity.

Hope everyone has a great week.  All of the big boys will be back on Wall Street after wrapping up their summer vacations in the Hamptons.  It will be interesting to see if they put their muscle behind power ing the market higher of if they decide to pull the plug based on the lousy economic data.

Regards,

Troy

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VISIONS Scan

Posted by mounddweller on June 20, 2010

I ran a VISIONS scan this weekend.  For the first time in quite a while it returned more than just one or two possible trades.  In fact VISIONS identified 14 possible trades, 5 of which have a Gold$ score of greater than 80. 

(1) First Solar (FSLR) – Gold$ = 92

(2) Banco Santander (STD) – Gold$ = 90

(3) Logitech International (LOGI) – Gold$ = 86

(4) ExxonMobil (XOM) – Gold$ = 84

(5) Forest Labs (FRX) – Gold$ = 82

What I found particularly interesting in the results of my scan are the increasing number of ‘blue chip’  stocks that are beginning to appear.  The most notable of these is of course ExxonMobil which showed up in the top 5.  Others, in no particular order, appearing further down the list beyond the top 14 I referenced above include JNJ, MSFT, KO, VISA, and GOOG. 

I believe we are still in a bear market thus I want to limit my trades to those types of large-cap companies.  I say keep an eye on them and pounce when the timing is right. 

Regards,

Troy

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